Catanduvense vs Grêmio Barueri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanduvense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
CAT
3 - 2
GUA
36%
27%
37%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
MON
0 - 1
CAT
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
CAT
1 - 0
VEL
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 1
CAT
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
CAT
1 - 1
RBB
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
GRÊ
3 - 1
GUA
26%
25%
49%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
FER
1 - 0
GRÊ
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
GRÊ
1 - 0
ITA
43%
26%
31%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
GOI
2 - 2
GRÊ
54%
24%
23%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
VEL
2 - 0
GRÊ
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |