Paulista A3 1st Stage Round 4

Catanduva vs EC São Bernardo analysis

Catanduva EC São Bernardo
48 ELO 47
-16.7% Tilt -21.2%
5823º General ELO ranking 5470º
212º Country ELO ranking 185º
ELO win probability
38.3%
Catanduva
26.6%
Draw
35.1%
EC São Bernardo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
Catanduva
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.1%
Win probability
EC São Bernardo
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Catanduva
-11%
-19%
EC São Bernardo

ELO progression

Catanduva
EC São Bernardo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Catanduva
Catanduva
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Jan. 2025
SER
Sertãozinho
0 - 1
Catanduva
CAT
43%
26%
31%
46 45 1 0
22 Jan. 2025
CAT
Catanduva
2 - 0
Bandeirante SP
BAN
41%
26%
33%
45 44 1 +1
18 Jan. 2025
RIO
Rio Preto
3 - 0
Catanduva
CAT
31%
26%
43%
47 39 8 -2
07 Apr. 2024
CAT
Catanduva
0 - 1
Desportivo Brasil
DES
38%
26%
36%
48 49 1 -1
30 Mar. 2024
DES
Desportivo Brasil
0 - 1
Catanduva
CAT
48%
26%
26%
47 50 3 +1

Matches

EC São Bernardo
EC São Bernardo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Jan. 2025
BER
EC São Bernardo
0 - 1
XV de Novembro
ECN
47%
26%
28%
49 48 1 0
22 Jan. 2025
BER
EC São Bernardo
1 - 1
Francana
FRA
57%
22%
20%
49 40 9 0
18 Jan. 2025
RIO
Rio Branco SP
3 - 1
EC São Bernardo
BER
26%
26%
49%
50 41 9 -1
17 Aug. 2024
OES
Oeste
3 - 0
EC São Bernardo
BER
40%
28%
33%
52 51 1 -2
10 Aug. 2024
BER
EC São Bernardo
3 - 0
CA Juventus
JUV
35%
26%
40%
50 54 4 +2