Castuera vs Trujillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
23.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castuera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
ZUR
2 - 4
CAS
17%
22%
61%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
CAS
0 - 0
CAC
35%
25%
41%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
CDZ
2 - 0
CAS
78%
16%
7%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
CAS
2 - 0
MOR
84%
12%
5%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
MOR
1 - 1
CAS
62%
23%
15%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
TRU
0 - 3
TAL
72%
17%
11%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
MAL
2 - 1
TRU
21%
23%
56%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1995 |
VIL
3 - 1
TRU
76%
16%
8%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | +9 |
| 14 May. 1995 |
TRU
5 - 2
MAL
20%
23%
57%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | +2 |
| 07 May. 1995 |
CAS
6 - 0
TRU
79%
14%
7%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |