Castuera vs Hernán Cortés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
21.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+89%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castuera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
GIM
1 - 0
CAS
9%
17%
74%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 0
QUI
48%
22%
30%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MON
0 - 1
CAS
14%
19%
67%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 1
SAM
32%
23%
44%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
CAB
2 - 5
CAS
13%
19%
68%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
HER
0 - 1
CAM
40%
23%
37%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
RMC
1 - 3
HER
63%
19%
19%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
HER
3 - 4
GUA
53%
22%
26%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
HER
2 - 1
GIM
72%
16%
12%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
QUI
2 - 1
HER
60%
20%
20%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |