Castuera vs Calamonte UD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
8.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castuera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
GIM
2 - 0
CAS
45%
24%
32%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 1
CAM
27%
24%
50%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
MON
1 - 3
CAS
26%
23%
51%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 1
GUA
38%
24%
38%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
HER
1 - 2
CAS
68%
19%
13%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Calamonte UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CDC
2 - 1
VAL
51%
22%
27%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
CAB
3 - 2
CDC
60%
20%
21%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
CDC
0 - 1
CDN
9%
15%
76%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
SAM
5 - 1
CDC
89%
8%
4%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
ZAL
3 - 0
CDC
69%
18%
14%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -2 |