Serie D Round 29

Castrovillari vs Nissa FC analysis

Castrovillari Nissa FC
28 ELO 37
-4.9% Tilt -9.7%
35221º General ELO ranking 5764º
1127º Country ELO ranking 212º
ELO win probability
27.1%
Castrovillari
25.3%
Draw
47.6%
Nissa FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.1%
Win probability
Castrovillari
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
47.6%
Win probability
Nissa FC
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Castrovillari
-34%
+69%
Nissa FC

ELO progression

Castrovillari
Nissa FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Castrovillari
Castrovillari
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Mar. 2009
TRA
Trapani
1 - 0
Castrovillari
USC
79%
15%
6%
26 52 26 0
04 Mar. 2009
USC
Castrovillari
0 - 0
AC Palazzolo
ACP
33%
25%
42%
26 34 8 0
01 Mar. 2009
USC
Castrovillari
0 - 1
Puteolana
PUT
45%
25%
30%
26 28 2 0
15 Feb. 2009
ASR
Rosarno
1 - 1
Castrovillari
USC
67%
20%
13%
26 40 14 0
25 Jan. 2009
MES
ACR Messina
1 - 0
Castrovillari
USC
78%
16%
7%
26 61 35 0

Matches

Nissa FC
Nissa FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Mar. 2009
NIS
Nissa FC
1 - 1
Rosarno
ASR
49%
23%
28%
38 39 1 0
01 Mar. 2009
ACP
AC Palazzolo
0 - 0
Nissa FC
NIS
40%
25%
35%
39 34 5 -1
25 Feb. 2009
ACA
ACRD Acicatena
1 - 1
Nissa FC
NIS
36%
26%
38%
39 34 5 0
22 Feb. 2009
NIS
Nissa FC
1 - 3
ACR Messina
MES
22%
26%
53%
39 62 23 0
01 Feb. 2009
NIS
Nissa FC
0 - 1
Sapri Calcio
SPC
49%
24%
27%
40 40 0 -1