Castro vs UM Escobedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
53.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+92%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
CAS
31%
26%
44%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 0
SIE
25%
24%
51%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
SEL
0 - 1
CAS
45%
25%
31%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 0
MAR
27%
26%
48%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
RAC
3 - 0
CAS
77%
15%
8%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
UM Escobedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
ESC
0 - 1
BEZ
69%
19%
12%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
ESC
1 - 1
TEX
65%
20%
15%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 2
ESC
16%
22%
62%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ESC
0 - 1
SIE
54%
23%
23%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
SEL
2 - 3
ESC
23%
24%
53%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |