Tercera Division G3. Jor. 16

Castro vs CD Guarnizo analysis

Castro CD Guarnizo
19 ELO 17
-5.9% Tilt -13.6%
9459º General ELO ranking 9728º
406º Country ELO ranking 432º
ELO win probability
56%
Castro
24.6%
Draw
19.4%
CD Guarnizo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
Castro
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
19.4%
Win probability
CD Guarnizo
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Castro
+96%
-5%
CD Guarnizo

ELO progression

Castro
CD Guarnizo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Castro
Castro
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Dec. 1998
AST
Unión Club
1 - 1
Castro
CAS
39%
29%
33%
19 16 3 0
29 Nov. 1998
CAS
Castro
0 - 0
UM Escobedo
ESC
34%
28%
38%
19 23 4 0
22 Nov. 1998
RAC
Rayo Cantabria
2 - 1
Castro
CAS
84%
12%
4%
19 38 19 0
15 Nov. 1998
CAS
Castro
2 - 1
CD Laredo
LAR
63%
22%
15%
19 15 4 0
08 Nov. 1998
SAN
Santoña CF
1 - 0
Castro
CAS
34%
30%
35%
19 17 2 0

Matches

CD Guarnizo
CD Guarnizo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Dec. 1998
CUL
CD Guarnizo
1 - 0
CD Bezana
BEZ
34%
30%
37%
16 21 5 0
29 Nov. 1998
RIB
Ribamontán al Mar
4 - 1
CD Guarnizo
CUL
54%
27%
19%
17 21 4 -1
22 Nov. 1998
CUL
CD Guarnizo
4 - 1
Revilla
REV
44%
28%
28%
16 17 1 +1
15 Nov. 1998
TEX
SD Textil Escudo
2 - 0
CD Guarnizo
CUL
57%
24%
20%
17 17 0 -1
08 Nov. 1998
CUL
CD Guarnizo
5 - 0
Cayón
CAY
33%
28%
39%
16 18 2 +1
X