Castro vs CD Guarnizo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
19.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+96%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
AST
1 - 1
CAS
39%
29%
33%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
CAS
0 - 0
ESC
34%
28%
38%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1998 |
RAC
2 - 1
CAS
84%
12%
4%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1998 |
CAS
2 - 1
LAR
63%
22%
15%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1998 |
SAN
1 - 0
CAS
34%
30%
35%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD Guarnizo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
CUL
1 - 0
BEZ
34%
30%
37%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
RIB
4 - 1
CUL
54%
27%
19%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1998 |
CUL
4 - 1
REV
44%
28%
28%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1998 |
TEX
2 - 0
CUL
57%
24%
20%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1998 |
CUL
5 - 0
CAY
33%
28%
39%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |