Castro vs Atco. Deva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
35.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
ALB
2 - 2
CAS
46%
25%
29%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2001 |
CAS
0 - 0
TEX
40%
27%
32%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
AYR
1 - 2
CAS
33%
27%
40%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
CAS
4 - 0
RAY
49%
24%
27%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
NOJ
4 - 0
CAS
75%
17%
8%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Atco. Deva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
PON
1 - 1
DEV
31%
27%
41%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2001 |
DEV
1 - 0
ALB
57%
25%
19%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
DEV
1 - 1
COM
63%
23%
15%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
TEX
0 - 0
DEV
35%
29%
36%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
DEV
2 - 1
MAR
64%
22%
14%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |