Castricum vs Zwaluwen .30 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.2%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
73.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castricum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
DEM
5 - 2
CAS
85%
11%
5%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
ZUI
2 - 0
CAS
85%
10%
5%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
CAS
2 - 2
ROD
11%
18%
71%
|
11 | 27 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
SWI
1 - 1
CAS
85%
11%
4%
|
10 | 30 | 20 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
CAS
2 - 3
BRE
9%
17%
74%
|
11 | 36 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Zwaluwen .30
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
ZWA
0 - 2
MAR
74%
15%
11%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2012 |
ZWA
4 - 2
SDC
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
JOD
2 - 2
ZWA
69%
19%
13%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
ROD
2 - 0
ZWA
27%
23%
50%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2012 |
ZWA
3 - 2
VOO
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |