Castrense B vs Alvorada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
49.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castrense B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 0
ODE
74%
16%
11%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
7 - 0
CAS
82%
12%
6%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 1
MES
62%
20%
19%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
NAV
0 - 0
CAS
40%
23%
36%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
ALV
2 - 2
CAS
72%
17%
12%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Alvorada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
SAN
4 - 1
ALV
76%
15%
10%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
NEG
1 - 0
ALV
12%
18%
71%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
ALV
4 - 1
MES
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
NAV
0 - 2
ALV
24%
22%
54%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ALV
3 - 0
ODE
86%
10%
4%
|
17 | 6 | 11 | +1 |