Castillo Locubín vs Vilches analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
45.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castillo Locubín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
CDR
5 - 1
CLO
63%
21%
16%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
CLO
1 - 4
PUE
24%
23%
54%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | -2 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
BAE
3 - 1
CLO
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
CLO
1 - 1
LCA
25%
24%
51%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
CLO
2 - 3
CPH
55%
22%
24%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Vilches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
CAZ
2 - 2
VIL
27%
23%
50%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
VIL
1 - 0
CDR
54%
22%
23%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
PUE
3 - 1
VIL
65%
20%
15%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
VIL
0 - 0
BAE
22%
25%
54%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
VIL
2 - 3
MAR
43%
26%
32%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |