Castillo Locubín vs Mancha Real AD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
33.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castillo Locubín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
JOD
4 - 2
CLO
47%
21%
32%
|
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CLO
1 - 0
BAI
51%
20%
29%
|
5 | 6 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CLO
0 - 2
VIL
26%
22%
52%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
LAG
1 - 0
CLO
59%
22%
20%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
BEA
3 - 2
CLO
83%
11%
6%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Mancha Real AD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
BAI
2 - 1
ADM
27%
22%
51%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ADM
0 - 0
VIL
32%
24%
44%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MCF
1 - 5
ADM
42%
22%
36%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ADM
5 - 1
UDC
49%
21%
30%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | +2 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
ADM
2 - 5
ATL
39%
25%
36%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |