Castilblanco A vs Casas De Don Pedro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
35.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castilblanco A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
PUE
3 - 1
CAS
39%
22%
39%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 0
PGA
45%
21%
34%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
SPH
3 - 2
CAS
69%
16%
15%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 0
VAL
52%
20%
28%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 1
FMO
7%
13%
80%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Casas De Don Pedro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 4
SMA
11%
15%
75%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
QUI
4 - 0
CAS
64%
18%
18%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 3
FMO
7%
12%
81%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
MON
10 - 0
CAS
52%
20%
28%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 1
CDT
38%
22%
41%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |