Castellnou vs Estación analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
54.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castellnou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
JOA
2 - 1
CAS
58%
19%
23%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 4
ART
21%
21%
58%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
NAV
4 - 0
CAS
69%
18%
14%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 4
PUI
17%
19%
63%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
PIR
3 - 1
CAS
44%
21%
35%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Estación
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2022 |
CCR
1 - 7
EST
28%
21%
51%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
EST
3 - 2
FRU
59%
20%
22%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 0
EST
30%
21%
49%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
EST
2 - 0
SPM
71%
16%
13%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
NAV
1 - 3
EST
42%
21%
38%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |