Castellet A vs Palillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
18.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castellet A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2014 |
CAS
5 - 3
OLO
63%
19%
18%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
SPN
1 - 5
CAS
37%
23%
40%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CAS
3 - 0
PIR
53%
21%
25%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
CCT
1 - 3
CAS
49%
22%
29%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 4
JUA
26%
22%
51%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Palillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
PAL
3 - 1
CCT
42%
23%
36%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
JUA
8 - 2
PAL
73%
16%
11%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
PAL
1 - 2
PNU
20%
21%
59%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
MON
3 - 2
PAL
62%
19%
18%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
PAL
1 - 2
MSF
41%
23%
36%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |