Castellet A vs Navarcles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
41%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castellet A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 1
CAS
41%
22%
38%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
PIP
4 - 1
CAS
84%
10%
6%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 1
VAL
55%
20%
25%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 3
CAS
43%
22%
35%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 5
CAS
51%
21%
29%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Navarcles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
NAV
1 - 1
MSF
37%
21%
42%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
MAT
5 - 2
NAV
40%
21%
39%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
NAV
1 - 0
SAN
58%
19%
24%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
PAL
5 - 4
NAV
26%
20%
54%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
NAV
2 - 5
PIP
38%
20%
42%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -2 |