Castellazzo vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.6%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
72.7%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castellazzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
INV
2 - 0
CAS
92%
6%
2%
|
13 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
BOR
3 - 2
CAS
72%
16%
13%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
SET
1 - 1
CAS
77%
15%
9%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 3
SES
14%
20%
67%
|
13 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ACQ
1 - 0
CAS
59%
21%
19%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 3
CHI
22%
23%
56%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 2
BOR
59%
21%
20%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
UNI
3 - 2
CAS
80%
14%
6%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 1
PRO
37%
28%
35%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ASD
2 - 2
CAS
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |