Castanet vs Balma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
24.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castanet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
AJA
4 - 2
CAS
55%
20%
25%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 1
TOU
60%
20%
20%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
PAU
3 - 3
CAS
62%
20%
19%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
CAS
3 - 1
VIL
46%
22%
31%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
CAS
3 - 2
ANG
50%
22%
29%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
BAL
1 - 0
AUB
35%
26%
39%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
OLY
2 - 2
BAL
67%
19%
14%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 2
BAL
51%
24%
25%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
BAL
2 - 3
LIM
51%
26%
23%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
AUR
0 - 0
BAL
46%
27%
27%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |