Casserres vs Vilada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.5%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.3%
3-0
12%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.9%
4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casserres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 0
MON
56%
21%
23%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
GIR
1 - 1
CAS
43%
21%
36%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 0
OLV
76%
14%
10%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
MON
1 - 6
CAS
12%
15%
74%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 1
CAL
81%
12%
7%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Vilada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
AVI
4 - 2
VIL
81%
11%
8%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 2
SAL
7%
12%
81%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SFS
3 - 2
VIL
75%
14%
11%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
VIL
4 - 2
SLM
40%
20%
40%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CCR
3 - 1
VIL
92%
6%
2%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |