Caspe vs Calamocha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
14.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caspe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
CAS
1 - 0
CEL
43%
24%
34%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
UDC
0 - 3
CAS
58%
21%
21%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
CAS
3 - 0
ATL
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CDC
1 - 0
CAS
53%
22%
26%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
CAS
2 - 3
POM
38%
24%
39%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Calamocha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
CAL
2 - 2
UDC
28%
27%
45%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 1
CAL
22%
22%
56%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
CAL
2 - 1
CDC
23%
23%
54%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
RSD
1 - 0
CAL
59%
20%
20%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
CAL
0 - 3
CEL
26%
25%
49%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |