Caselas vs SD Burela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
8.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caselas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1996 |
COX
1 - 4
CAS
19%
24%
57%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1996 |
BET
0 - 2
CAS
56%
22%
22%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1995 |
CAS
2 - 1
CEL
33%
26%
41%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
GRA
1 - 1
CAS
42%
25%
33%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
CAS
1 - 2
POR
65%
20%
16%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
SD Burela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1996 |
BUR
0 - 0
SDM
53%
24%
22%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1996 |
BUR
1 - 2
RIB
52%
24%
24%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1995 |
SOM
3 - 2
BUR
56%
23%
21%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
COX
2 - 3
BUR
38%
26%
35%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
BUR
0 - 3
BET
37%
26%
37%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |