Casale vs Lavagnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
10.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-74%
+254%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
CAS
1 - 0
CUN
63%
22%
15%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
SET
0 - 0
CAS
21%
23%
56%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
ACD
1 - 2
CAS
63%
22%
16%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
ACA
2 - 1
CAS
27%
24%
49%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
CAS
1 - 0
DER
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Lavagnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
VAO
0 - 1
LAV
37%
26%
38%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
LAV
4 - 0
ACR
40%
25%
34%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
LAV
0 - 0
SET
50%
24%
26%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
LAV
1 - 0
VIG
60%
22%
18%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
LAV
0 - 2
ACD
17%
24%
58%
|
29 | 51 | 22 | -1 |