Gualdo Casacastalda vs ASD Pontevecchio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
15.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gualdo Casacastalda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
VFC
1 - 1
CAS
21%
21%
58%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
ACD
5 - 2
CAS
72%
17%
11%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CAS
1 - 2
VOL
65%
19%
16%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -4 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
CAS
4 - 1
DER
70%
18%
12%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
PIA
1 - 2
CAS
28%
23%
49%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
ASD Pontevecchio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ASD
1 - 1
JMO
35%
25%
40%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
ASD
0 - 0
ARZ
12%
21%
68%
|
26 | 50 | 24 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 0
ASD
53%
22%
25%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ASD
3 - 0
TOD
57%
23%
21%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
PIA
2 - 0
ASD
59%
21%
20%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |