Casa Pia AC vs Vilafranquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.6%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
8%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
SIN
1 - 1
CAS
33%
29%
39%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
CAS
3 - 0
ELE
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 1
VAR
31%
28%
42%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
VAR
2 - 0
CAS
51%
27%
23%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 1
OPE
36%
28%
36%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Vilafranquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2015 |
VIL
4 - 0
IRI
82%
12%
6%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
MON
2 - 2
VIL
9%
15%
76%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
VIL
3 - 1
COU
83%
12%
6%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
LOU
1 - 0
VIL
16%
20%
65%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 1
TOJ
82%
12%
6%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |