Casa Pia AC vs Carregado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
QUA
1 - 2
CAS
26%
25%
49%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
TOR
0 - 0
CAS
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
CAS
0 - 0
OEI
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
PIN
2 - 5
CAS
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
CAS
1 - 0
FAR
18%
25%
57%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | +2 |
Matches
Carregado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 2
LOU
70%
18%
13%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 0
FAT
39%
24%
37%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
MAF
4 - 0
CAR
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 0
1DE
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
SER
4 - 0
CAR
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |