Carvalhosa vs Paços de Gaiolo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
14.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-87%
+186%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carvalhosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
LAM
1 - 1
CAR
29%
22%
49%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
LOU
3 - 1
CAR
84%
11%
5%
|
11 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 1
FRE
18%
21%
61%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
ANC
2 - 2
CAR
50%
22%
27%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 5
SVP
59%
20%
21%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Paços de Gaiolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
PGA
0 - 4
LOU
9%
16%
75%
|
7 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
FRE
2 - 2
PGA
84%
11%
5%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
PGA
2 - 2
ANC
22%
21%
57%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
SVP
5 - 1
PGA
72%
16%
12%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
PGA
3 - 0
SAL
37%
23%
40%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | +2 |