Carshalton Athletic vs Bognor Regis Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
48.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carshalton Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 0
HEY
51%
24%
26%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
HAR
1 - 0
CAR
50%
24%
26%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
EAS
24%
23%
53%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
WIN
1 - 0
CAR
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 2
CON
38%
25%
37%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bognor Regis Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
BOG
0 - 1
WEA
40%
25%
36%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
BOG
4 - 1
ILF
83%
12%
5%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
WIN
1 - 3
BOG
36%
24%
41%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BOG
0 - 2
MAR
55%
23%
23%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
LEI
1 - 1
BOG
32%
24%
45%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |