NI League Promotion Play Offs Final
Global 5-2
Carrick Rangers vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
50.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2017 |
INS
1 - 1
CAR
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
BAL
4 - 1
CAR
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
DUN
4 - 0
CAR
69%
18%
13%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 2
GLE
30%
25%
45%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 2
ARD
34%
25%
42%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2017 |
INS
1 - 1
CAR
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2017 |
INS
3 - 1
BAL
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2017 |
BAL
1 - 0
INS
27%
24%
49%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
BAL
2 - 4
INS
30%
24%
46%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
PSN
0 - 1
INS
41%
24%
35%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |