Carregado vs Fatima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
43.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carregado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 2
MAF
24%
25%
51%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
ALC
1 - 1
CAR
59%
22%
20%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
TOR
2 - 1
CAR
65%
21%
14%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
LOU
2 - 1
CAR
61%
20%
19%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 3
CAL
47%
23%
31%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 1
FAT
30%
27%
42%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
FAT
0 - 0
MAF
37%
27%
37%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 3
FAT
13%
20%
67%
|
46 | 16 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
FAT
1 - 0
ALC
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
UDL
0 - 0
FAT
63%
22%
15%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |