Carranza vs Remar AD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
17.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
-91%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carranza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 2
SSD
78%
13%
9%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ACA
0 - 3
CAR
20%
20%
61%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 2
BUS
41%
22%
37%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MEC
0 - 4
CAR
50%
22%
28%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 2
DEC
36%
24%
40%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Remar AD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SSD
6 - 2
REM
22%
20%
59%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
REM
1 - 2
BUS
45%
21%
34%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
DEC
2 - 3
REM
65%
17%
18%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
REM
4 - 2
ATA
39%
21%
40%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
REM
2 - 2
ALI
80%
12%
8%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |