Carranza vs Fuencarral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
25.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carranza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
VBL
1 - 0
CAR
64%
18%
19%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 1
SMC
49%
22%
29%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 1
OSA
51%
22%
28%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
SAG
0 - 0
CAR
68%
18%
14%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 4
ALT
35%
21%
44%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Fuencarral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
JUS
4 - 2
FUE
60%
19%
21%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
VBL
4 - 1
FUE
61%
18%
21%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
FUE
2 - 1
SMC
26%
23%
51%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
OSA
2 - 1
FUE
57%
20%
23%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
FUE
0 - 1
SAG
16%
19%
65%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |