Carranza vs Alalpardo B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
13.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carranza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
JSB
2 - 0
CAR
28%
24%
48%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
CAR
3 - 0
GSI
75%
16%
9%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
CAR
4 - 1
ACA
47%
24%
30%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 1
ATA
46%
24%
30%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
FTC
4 - 0
CAR
36%
24%
40%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Alalpardo B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
ALA
2 - 6
CFR
46%
21%
33%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
EPA
4 - 3
ALA
44%
22%
35%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
ALA
3 - 1
CDC
39%
22%
39%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
JRR
2 - 4
ALA
68%
16%
17%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ALA
1 - 4
RSR
8%
13%
79%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |