Carquefou vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
63.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
17.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.8%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carquefou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2008 |
CAR
3 - 0
BRE
42%
26%
32%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
CAR
3 - 0
ALE
52%
24%
24%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
MON
3 - 2
CAR
32%
25%
43%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
CAR
1 - 0
FCG
24%
24%
52%
|
37 | 61 | 24 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
SAI
2 - 1
CAR
29%
25%
46%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
AUX
0 - 0
ASN
54%
26%
20%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2008 |
ASN
1 - 1
MAR
39%
28%
33%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
NIC
1 - 0
ASN
46%
28%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2008 |
LEN
3 - 0
ASN
54%
26%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
CAE
0 - 0
ASN
44%
28%
29%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |