AC Carpi vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
19.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Carpi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
PAR
2 - 1
CAR
53%
27%
20%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 2
PRG
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
BRE
1 - 1
CAR
44%
29%
27%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
ASC
2 - 0
CAR
36%
30%
34%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 0
VNZ
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
PAL
3 - 0
AVE
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
AVE
0 - 2
FRO
30%
28%
43%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
ACD
1 - 1
AVE
49%
26%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2018 |
AVE
2 - 0
PRG
26%
26%
48%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
AVE
1 - 2
BAR
34%
28%
38%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |