Lega Primavera U19 Round 25

Carpi U19 vs Novara U19 analysis

Carpi U19 Novara U19
17 ELO 30
-8.8% Tilt -3.4%
28276º General ELO ranking 32604º
1026º Country ELO ranking 1058º
ELO win probability
14.8%
Carpi U19
18.9%
Draw
66.3%
Novara U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.8%
Win probability
Carpi U19
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
66.3%
Win probability
Novara U19
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Carpi U19
Novara U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Carpi U19
Carpi U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Apr. 2016
GEN
Genoa U19
5 - 0
Carpi U19
CAR
75%
16%
10%
18 27 9 0
09 Apr. 2016
CAR
Carpi U19
0 - 2
Torino U19
TOR
12%
18%
70%
18 41 23 0
12 Mar. 2016
MOD
Modena U19
0 - 3
Carpi U19
CAR
50%
22%
28%
17 17 0 +1
05 Mar. 2016
CAR
Carpi U19
2 - 1
Pro Vercelli U19
PRO
33%
24%
44%
16 19 3 +1
27 Feb. 2016
FIO
Fiorentina U19
1 - 1
Carpi U19
CAR
90%
7%
3%
15 38 23 +1

Matches

Novara U19
Novara U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Apr. 2016
NOV
Novara U19
2 - 3
Fiorentina U19
FIO
32%
23%
45%
30 35 5 0
16 Apr. 2016
TOR
Torino U19
3 - 1
Novara U19
NOV
65%
20%
15%
32 39 7 -2
02 Apr. 2016
JUV
Juventus U19
1 - 0
Novara U19
NOV
66%
19%
15%
34 41 7 -2
12 Mar. 2016
NOV
Novara U19
3 - 0
Livorno U19
LIV
87%
10%
4%
34 15 19 0
27 Feb. 2016
PRO
Pro Vercelli U19
2 - 3
Novara U19
NOV
16%
19%
65%
33 19 14 +1