Carlton Town vs Shepshed analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
17.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2009 |
CAR
3 - 2
WIL
60%
20%
20%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
RUS
0 - 1
CAR
52%
24%
24%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 1
LIN
65%
19%
16%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
SPA
1 - 2
CAR
25%
23%
52%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 1
KID
75%
15%
10%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
SHE
1 - 1
GRA
33%
25%
42%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
WIL
6 - 1
SHE
46%
25%
30%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
GRA
4 - 2
SHE
44%
25%
31%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2009 |
SHE
0 - 3
LIN
54%
24%
22%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
RET
4 - 3
SHE
68%
19%
13%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |