Carlton Town vs Pontefract Collieries analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
39.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
10º
19º
17º
49
1º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
99 | 99 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
60 | 60 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
51 | 51 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
49 | 49 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 49 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
49 | 49 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
46 | 46 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
46 | 46 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
44 | 44 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
43 | 43 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
42 | 42 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
41 | 41 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
40 | 40 |
19º
|
100% | |
|
20º
|
21 | 21 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
STO
4 - 3
CAR
64%
19%
18%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
CLE
43%
23%
34%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
NOR
2 - 1
CAR
58%
21%
21%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 4
SHE
68%
18%
14%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 2
GRA
59%
21%
20%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Pontefract Collieries
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
PON
2 - 2
SHE
55%
22%
23%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BRI
0 - 5
PON
25%
21%
54%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
PON
0 - 0
GRA
48%
24%
28%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
PON
2 - 1
STO
29%
23%
49%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CLE
1 - 4
PON
50%
22%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |