Carlton Town vs Gresley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
19.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
CAR
1 - 0
COL
38%
24%
38%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
GRA
1 - 2
CAR
41%
24%
35%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
CAR
3 - 6
WAR
65%
19%
16%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
CAR
3 - 0
KID
57%
21%
23%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2008 |
SPA
1 - 3
CAR
20%
22%
58%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
COL
2 - 1
GRE
64%
21%
16%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
GRE
1 - 4
GRA
59%
22%
19%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
GRE
3 - 1
QUO
64%
20%
17%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2008 |
SHE
1 - 2
GRE
30%
26%
44%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2007 |
GRE
3 - 2
KID
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |