Carolinense vs Real Jaén B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
55.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carolinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
UBE
2 - 0
CAR
84%
12%
5%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 1
BAE
16%
21%
63%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
UDG
2 - 0
CAR
82%
12%
6%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 3
NAV
18%
20%
62%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CPH
5 - 3
CAR
47%
24%
29%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
RJA
2 - 0
FUE
68%
17%
15%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CDT
4 - 2
RJA
47%
21%
32%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
RJA
4 - 2
VIL
48%
23%
29%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ACF
2 - 1
RJA
61%
18%
21%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
UBE
3 - 1
RJA
51%
22%
27%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |