Primera Andaluza Jaen Round 1

Carolinense vs Mancha Real B analysis

Carolinense Mancha Real B
15 ELO 9
-2.3% Tilt 0.1%
10745º General ELO ranking 17078º
827º Country ELO ranking 4851º
ELO win probability
74.6%
Carolinense
14.7%
Draw
10.7%
Mancha Real B

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.6%
Win probability
Carolinense
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
10.7%
Win probability
Mancha Real B
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Carolinense
+12%
+293%
Mancha Real B

ELO progression

Carolinense
Mancha Real B
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Carolinense
Carolinense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 May. 2023
CAR
Carolinense
0 - 2
Navas CD
NAV
50%
22%
28%
16 15 1 0
30 Apr. 2023
ATL
Atlético Jaén
3 - 2
Carolinense
CAR
48%
22%
30%
16 17 1 0
23 Apr. 2023
IDJ
Inter de Jaén CF
0 - 2
Carolinense
CAR
13%
19%
69%
16 10 6 0
16 Apr. 2023
CAR
Carolinense
6 - 1
CD Alcalá Enjoy
CDA
77%
14%
8%
16 9 7 0
31 Mar. 2023
LID
Linares Deportivo B
2 - 3
Carolinense
CAR
13%
19%
69%
16 9 7 0