Carolinense vs CD Villanueva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
34.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+94%
+99%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carolinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
BEG
2 - 1
CAR
67%
19%
15%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 5
BAE
30%
23%
47%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CDT
3 - 1
CAR
46%
22%
32%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
CAZ
62%
20%
18%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ICF
2 - 3
CAR
64%
20%
17%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CD Villanueva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CDV
3 - 2
BAE
14%
19%
68%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CAZ
3 - 2
CDV
39%
22%
39%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CDV
1 - 1
NAV
25%
23%
53%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
IDJ
1 - 1
CDV
34%
24%
42%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CDV
1 - 4
LID
77%
15%
8%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | -2 |