Carolinense vs CD Villacarrillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
60.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
+164%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carolinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CDR
0 - 0
CAR
44%
25%
31%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 0
BAE
64%
20%
16%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CHU
0 - 1
CAR
70%
18%
13%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 0
ACO
25%
23%
52%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
BEN
0 - 0
CAR
73%
16%
11%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD Villacarrillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
FUE
0 - 1
VIL
20%
23%
58%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
VIL
3 - 2
CDR
78%
15%
7%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
BAE
0 - 3
VIL
13%
21%
66%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 0
CHU
65%
20%
16%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
ACO
3 - 4
VIL
33%
25%
42%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |