USL First Division - USA Final
Global 1-3
North Carolina vs Puerto Rico Islanders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
32.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2010 |
PRI
2 - 0
CAR
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 0
MON
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2010 |
MON
1 - 0
CAR
43%
29%
29%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
CAR
4 - 0
MIN
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2010 |
MIN
0 - 0
CAR
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Puerto Rico Islanders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2010 |
PRI
2 - 0
CAR
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2010 |
OLI
3 - 0
PRI
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2010 |
VAN
0 - 2
PRI
44%
28%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2010 |
PRI
0 - 0
VAN
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
ROC
2 - 1
PRI
39%
28%
33%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |