North Carolina vs Portland Timbers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
24.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
CHA
1 - 2
CAR
52%
26%
23%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2008 |
CAR
1 - 1
ROC
34%
29%
37%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
CAR
3 - 1
CHA
35%
29%
36%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
CAR
0 - 2
MON
30%
30%
41%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2008 |
SES
4 - 3
CAR
65%
22%
13%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Portland Timbers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2008 |
POR
1 - 2
CHA
38%
29%
33%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2008 |
MON
2 - 0
POR
53%
28%
19%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
ROC
2 - 0
POR
61%
23%
17%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2008 |
POR
4 - 0
FOR
42%
28%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
VAN
2 - 1
POR
54%
26%
20%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |