USL First Division . Semi-finals
Global 2-1
North Carolina vs CF Montréal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
33.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2010 |
MON
1 - 0
CAR
43%
29%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
CAR
4 - 0
MIN
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2010 |
MIN
0 - 0
CAR
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
CAR
3 - 1
AUS
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 1
PRI
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CF Montréal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2010 |
MON
1 - 0
CAR
43%
29%
29%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
AUS
2 - 3
MON
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2010 |
MON
2 - 0
AUS
51%
28%
22%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
MON
2 - 0
AUS
49%
28%
23%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
VAN
0 - 1
MON
45%
28%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |