Ascenso Apertura . Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
Carmelita vs Jacó FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
16.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-66%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmelita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
JFC
1 - 0
ADC
35%
25%
40%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
ADC
6 - 0
CAR
72%
17%
11%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
BAR
1 - 0
ADC
27%
25%
49%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
COF
3 - 3
ADC
30%
26%
45%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 3
ADC
18%
24%
58%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Jacó FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
JFC
1 - 0
ADC
35%
25%
40%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
JFC
2 - 1
ESC
38%
25%
37%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
CSU
0 - 1
JFC
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
JFC
2 - 0
SAN
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
TUR
2 - 0
JFC
33%
25%
42%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |