Carmarthen Town vs Airbus UK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
46.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
+89%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
BAN
3 - 1
CAR
62%
20%
18%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
RHY
4 - 2
CAR
52%
23%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
TNS
2 - 0
CAR
69%
17%
14%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -2 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 3
ABE
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
CON
1 - 3
CAR
30%
24%
45%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Airbus UK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
TNS
2 - 0
AIR
56%
21%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
BAN
2 - 4
AIR
44%
25%
31%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
AIR
1 - 1
TNS
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2014 |
RHY
2 - 0
AIR
31%
26%
44%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2014 |
AIR
2 - 0
BAN
52%
22%
26%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |