Carmarthen Town vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
31.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 1
AIR
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
NEW
0 - 2
CAR
46%
24%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 2
BAL
31%
26%
43%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
UND
2 - 4
CAR
10%
16%
75%
|
57 | 33 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
POR
2 - 0
CAR
35%
26%
39%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
ABE
0 - 3
POR
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2014 |
CON
2 - 4
ABE
35%
25%
40%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ABE
2 - 0
RHY
63%
20%
17%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
CEF
1 - 5
ABE
29%
24%
47%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2014 |
BAN
2 - 2
ABE
40%
24%
37%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |