CA Mannucci vs Defensor San Alejandro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
27.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Mannucci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
MAN
2 - 0
WIL
41%
27%
31%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
SBO
4 - 3
MAN
40%
29%
31%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
MAN
3 - 1
PAC
53%
26%
21%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
LOS
0 - 0
MAN
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
ALF
1 - 0
MAN
38%
28%
34%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor San Alejandro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
DEF
4 - 1
SBO
53%
25%
23%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
PAC
2 - 1
DEF
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
DEF
2 - 2
LOS
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
COM
2 - 1
DEF
42%
28%
30%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
GAL
0 - 0
DEF
37%
27%
35%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |